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Analyst Suggests Bitcoin's Bottom Could Be $50K Assuming BTC Surpasses $200K This Cycle – Market Updates Bitcoin News – Bitcoin News

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by Jamie Redman
The price of bitcoin in October has shown signs of a double-bubble similar to the bull run in 2013, and speculators have been trying to guess the leading crypto asset’s top. On October 20, cryptocurrency market analyst Justin Bennett discussed bitcoin’s possible price floor after it reaches the top. Bennett suggests the end of this cycle could be between $207,000 and $270,000. Assuming bitcoin crosses $200K per coin, Bennett thinks the digital asset’s bottom after an 80% pullback will be around $50K.
The price of bitcoin (BTC) reached an all-time high (ATH) at $67,017 on October 20, 2021, and since then the price has shed around 8% in value. On that same day, cryptocurrency market analyst Justin Bennett published some insights about bitcoin’s future in a blog post called “Charting Bitcoin’s Next Five Years.”
Cryptocademy’s analyst Bennett discusses BTC’s market fundamentals and he offers a prediction of the end of the cycle as well. In recent times, many bitcoin supporters suspect that a 2013-like double bubble is on the horizon, and the infamous stock-to-flow creator Plan B explained on Saturday that he’s feeling “2013 vibes.”
The blog post written by Bennett covers bitcoin bull cycles and talks about where bitcoin (BTC) is going over the next five years. “A look at the 2.272 and 2.414 Fibonacci extensions from the last two cycles shows a target area that was reached both times,” Bennett writes.
“If we apply that same area to the current rant, we get an end-of-cycle target for Bitcoin between $207,000 and $270,000,” the analyst adds. Following the end cycle outlook, Bennett details that the last three bear markets that followed the bull cycles have “produced corrections of 94%, 87%, and 84% respectively.”
Bennett writes that the previous data also shows that each bear market was less painful than the one prior. The analyst highlights that this data indicates that the leading crypto asset bitcoin (BTC) is becoming a “maturing market.”
As BTC continues to mature, Bennett stresses, bitcoin is “likely to see diminishing returns and bear market corrections.” The Cryptocademy analyst believes this end cycle will be no different. “As such, I’d expect the next bear market to pullback between 75% and 80% from the peak,” Bennett details. The digital currency market analyst’s blog post adds:
If we assume bitcoin reaches $200,000+ this cycle and pulls back between 75% and 80% during the next bear market, it would put the next cycle low somewhere around $50,000. And that makes perfect sense. $50,000 is a psychology number, and it’s very near the $65,000 high that lasted for six months recently.
Bennett’s prediction follows the recent bitcoin price model crafted by Will Clemente. The lead insights analyst at Blockware Solutions, Will Clemente, tweeted about a new bitcoin price model called the “Illiquid Supply Floor” in mid-September. “Introducing: ‘Illiquid Supply Floor,’” Clemente tweeted on September 15. “This combines Glassnode’s illiquid supply data with Plan B’s traditional S2F model, creating a price floor based on Bitcoin’s real-time scarcity. Currently $39K,” he added at the time.
There’s been a number of people attempting to call bitcoin’s price top and some even believe a single “bitcoin will eventually be equivalent to $1 million.” Bennett’s and Clemente’s recent statements touch upon bitcoin’s price bottom and the lowest of lows. Both of these predictions combined indicate that the lowest of lows following this bull cycle’s top could be anywhere between $39K to $50K.
What do you think about Justin Bennett’s blog post that suggests bitcoin’s floor will be around $50K per unit? Let us know what you think about this subject in the comments section below.
Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.
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Cryptoverse: Bitcoin miners get stuck in a bear pit – Reuters

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Sept 27 (Reuters) – Spare a thought for the beleaguered bitcoin miner.
In late 2021, miners were the toast of the town with a surefire path to profit: hook powerful computers up to cheap power, crack fiendishly complex maths puzzles and then sell newly minted coins on the booming market.
A year's a long time in crypto.
Global revenue from bitcoin mining has dropped to $17.2 million a day amid a crypto winter and global energy crisis, down about 72% from last November when miners were racking up $62 million a day, according to data from Blockchain.com.
"Bitcoin miners have continued to watch margins compress – the price of bitcoin has fallen, mining difficulty has risen and energy prices have soared," said Joe Burnett, head analyst at Blockware Solutions.
That's put serious pressure on some players who bought expensive mining machines, or rigs, banking on rising bitcoin prices to recoup their investment.
Bitcoin is trading at around $19,000 and has failed to break above $25,000 since August, let alone regain November's all-time high of $69,000.
At the same time, the process of solving puzzles to mine tokens has become more difficult as more miners have come online. This means they must devour more computing power, further upping operating costs, especially for those without long-term power pricing agreements.
Bitcoin miners' profit for one terahash per second of computing power has fluctuated between $0.119 and $0.070 a day since July, down from $0.45 in November last year and around its lowest levels for two years.
The grim state of affairs could be here to stay, too: Luxor's Hashrate Index, which measures mining revenue potential, has fallen almost 70% so far this year.
2140: THE LAST BITCOIN
It's been painful for miners.
Shares of Marathon Digital (MARA.O), Riot Blockchain (RIOT.O) and Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI.O) have sunk more than 60% this year, for example, while crypto-mining data center operator Compute North filed for bankruptcy last week.
Yet mining is ultimately a long-term proposition – the last bitcoin is expected be mined in 2140, more than a century away – and some spy opportunity in the gloom.
"The best time to get in is when market's low, the same mining rigs that went for $10,000 earlier this year you can get that for 50% to 75% off right now," said William Szamosszegi, CEO of Sazmining Inc which is planning to open a renewable-energy powered bitcoin mining operation.
Indeed, many miners are cutting back on buying rigs, forcing makers to cut prices.
For instance, the popular S19J Pro rig sold for $10,100 in January on average, but now sells for $3,200, analysts at Luxor said, also noting prices for bulk orders of some mining machines had fallen by 10% in just the past week.
Chris Kline, co-founder of crypto investment platform Bitcoin IRA, said miners would have to be "hyper-focused" on energy efficiency, both to bring costs down and to avoid any repercussions from climate change-related regulations.
"From managing their balance sheet, processing units and energy costs, miners will look to stay afloat regardless of current market conditions," he added.
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Crypto companies were undeterred by initial failure to obtain licences to operate in Britain and were submitting new applications, the Financial Conduct Authority said on Thursday.
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Crypto market volatile; Terra Classic Lunc leads the laggards, Bitcoin above $19k | Mint – Mint

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  • The American currency scaled past the 111 level against a basket of currencies — making cryptocurrencies against the greenback vulnerable as well. Currently, there is a steep plunge in trading volumes of cryptocurrencies.

Cryptocurrencies are trading volatile tracking feeble global equities after recession fears in major economies like the US and Europe sparked. The US Fed’s aggressive approach to tame inflation at the cost of economic growth further dampened the mood. Fed has hiked the rate by another 75 basis points. Wall Street and European stocks slipped sharply last week, while energy prices settled lower and bond yields climbed to multiyear highs. The American currency scaled past the 111 level against a basket of currencies — making cryptocurrencies against the greenback vulnerable as well. Currently, there is a steep plunge in trading volumes of cryptocurrencies.
On CoinMarketCap, at the time of writing, the global crypto market is at $939.57 billion up by 0.28% over the last day. However, total crypto market volume dropped nearly 37% over the last 24 hours and is at $49.82 billion.
Meanwhile, the total volume in DeFi is currently at $3.11 billion — 6.25% of the total crypto market 24-hour volume. The volume of all stablecoins is now $45.65 billion which is 91.63% of the total crypto market 24-hour volume.
Ethereum is the top trending cryptocurrency today followed by PancakeSwap and XRP.
The crypto leader Bitcoin is trading at a little over 19,000 mark at $19,090 up by 0.5%. Its market cap is nearly $366 billion. The digital coin’s dominance is currently up by 0.12% over the day at 38.95%.
Meanwhile, the second largest cryptocurrency Ethereum is performing near $1,331 and is up by 0.75%. Its market cap is around $163.3 billion.
Recently, Ethereum launched the most-awaited Merge which led to a transition of proof-of-stake consensus, officially deprecating proof-of-work and reducing energy consumption by ~99.95%.
Data from Coinglass showed that Ethereum has liquidated more than $759 million since September 15.
However, both Bitcoin and Ethereum have dipped by nearly 5% and 9% respectively in the last seven trading sessions.
Among top-performing cryptocurrencies in the last 24 hours are — Reserve Rights climbing by 9.5% followed by Chainlink up 5.5%. Algorand, Chiliz, and eCash surged by 4-5.5%.
On the other hand, Terra Classic Lunc took lead in the laggards list by plunging more than 7%, followed by XDC Network shedding nearly 5%, Stellar and DogeCoin tumbling more than 3% each. Axie Infinity, Helium, Nexo, Celsius, and Synthetix dived between 2-3%.
Terra tokens are under pressure as currently, Terraform Labs CEO Do Kwon is facing multiple jurisdictions. An arrest warrant has been issued by the Seoul Southern District Prosecutors Office against Kwon who is the forefather of TerraUSD algorithmic stablecoin and sister token Luna that wiped out reportedly $60 billion in the cryptocurrency market. Kwon’s whereabouts are unknown, although, the co-founder of Terra tokens denied rumours of being on the ‘run’ from government agencies.
Last week, US Fed in its latest policy statement said, “the Committee is highly attentive to inflation risks.”
FOMC further said, in support of these goals, the Committee decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate to 3 to 3-1/4 percent and anticipates that ongoing increases in the target range will be appropriate. In addition, the Committee will continue reducing its holdings of Treasury securities and agency debt, and agency mortgage-backed securities, as described in the Plans for Reducing the Size of the Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet that was issued in May.
FOMC is committed to returning inflation to its 2% objective.
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Bitcoin news – live: Price crash continues as crypto ‘stable’ coin UST uncouples from dollar – Yahoo News

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